Saturday, July 21, 2012

Carbon tax will cost less than previously estimated

The effect of the carbon price on retail electricity will be lower than predicted and vary considerably by region, a new University of Queensland study has projected. The study employed a supercomputer, agent-based modelling methodology that closely simulates the behaviour of traders and generators operating in the National Electricity Market, based on the legislated $23 per tonnes carbon tax in five eastern Australian states. The study estimates that the national average of price increases will be 8.9%, lower than the Treasury’s 10% forecast. The tax will impact upon states differently: Queenslanders can expect a 10.4% increase, due to a high dependency on coal based electricity, while Tasmanians are projected to see prices increase by 3.8%. See full Article.