Wednesday, August 21, 2013

The inevitability of sea level rise


Small numbers can imply big things. Global sea level rose by a little less than 0.2 metres during the 20th century – mainly in response to the 0.8 °C of warming humans have caused through greenhouse gas emissions. That might not look like something to worry about. But there is no doubt that for the next century, sea level will continue to rise substantially. The multi-billionmdollar question is: by how much?

The upper limit of two metres that is currently available in the scientific literature would be extremely difficult and costly to adapt to for many coastal regions. But the sea level will not stop rising at the end of the 21st century. Historical climate records show that sea levels have been higher whenever Earth’s climate was warmer – and not by a couple of centimetres, but by several metres. This inevitability is the inertia in the ocean and ice masseson the planet. There are two major reasons for the perpetual response of sea level to human perturbations.

See full Article: http://theconversation.com/the-inevitability-of-sea-level-rise-16871